Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.001878 0.001995 0.002117 0.002252 0.002398 0.002552 0.002727
2025-04-06 0.001682 0.001844 0.002018 0.002221 0.002450 0.002703 0.003003
2025-04-13 0.001537 0.001724 0.001933 0.002183 0.002476 0.002810 0.003224
2025-04-20 0.001399 0.001598 0.001825 0.002103 0.002439 0.002833 0.003337
2025-04-27 0.001340 0.001557 0.001808 0.002125 0.002516 0.002989 0.003612
2025-05-04 0.001304 0.001537 0.001814 0.002170 0.002621 0.003181 0.003940
2025-05-11 0.001282 0.001533 0.001836 0.002234 0.002750 0.003406 0.004322
2025-05-18 0.001242 0.001504 0.001824 0.002252 0.002818 0.003554 0.004610
2025-05-25 0.001180 0.001442 0.001768 0.002210 0.002803 0.003591 0.004744
2025-06-01 0.001133 0.001397 0.001730 0.002188 0.002813 0.003658 0.004922
2025-06-08 0.001104 0.001376 0.001721 0.002203 0.002872 0.003795 0.005206
2025-06-15 0.001064 0.001336 0.001686 0.002181 0.002878 0.003855 0.005380
2025-06-22 0.001025 0.001300 0.001658 0.002172 0.002909 0.003962 0.005647
2025-06-29 0.000981 0.001255 0.001616 0.002140 0.002906 0.004020 0.005844
2025-07-06 0.000938 0.001209 0.001571 0.002104 0.002892 0.004061 0.006017
2025-07-13 0.000884 0.001148 0.001502 0.002028 0.002816 0.004002 0.006021
2025-07-20 0.000867 0.001134 0.001499 0.002048 0.002885 0.004169 0.006411
2025-07-27 0.000858 0.001133 0.001512 0.002092 0.002991 0.004400 0.006928
2025-08-03 0.000854 0.001139 0.001536 0.002152 0.003127 0.004687 0.007569
2025-08-10 0.000838 0.001126 0.001532 0.002169 0.003193 0.004864 0.008026
2025-08-17 0.000807 0.001089 0.001491 0.002129 0.003164 0.004878 0.008181
2025-08-24 0.000782 0.001062 0.001464 0.002108 0.003166 0.004943 0.008437
2025-08-31 0.000769 0.001051 0.001460 0.002123 0.003227 0.005115 0.008915